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the reference layer for
prediction markets.

Read by desks. Queried by agents.

Graded resolutions · Cross-venue linked · Catalysts tagged

1,857 events · cross-venue linked · graded resolutions

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GET /events/kxgdpyear-26 live

{
  "event_id":        "CM-EVT-X1SJDG9QQ8",
  "slug":            "kxgdpyear-26",
  "category":        "economics",
  "question":        "Will GDP growth in 2026 exceed 2%?",
  "venues_covered":  ["kalshi"],
  "tags": ["gdp-growth", "macroeconomics", "economic-data"],
  "catalyst_dates": [
    { "date": "2026-06-05", "type": "jobs", "label": "Employment Situation" }
  ],
  "primary_market": {
    "market_id":    "CM-MKT-559JMDFW06",
    "question_id":  "CMX-C73B22D70D",
    "also_on":      null,
    "rcg":          { "grade": "A", "score": 93 },
    "resolution": {
      "source":            "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
      "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff"
    }
  }
}

CLEARMARKET SIGNAL

the intelligence layer.

Prediction markets turn live opinion into a price. CM Signal flags where those prices diverge: from each other, from benchmarks, from the news, or on unusual volume.
Published daily.

latest automated alerts · system feed

Jun 10, 11:37	CMSIG20260610BD00	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Traders pile into US inflation breaking above 4%98% · CPI inflation, year-over-year (FRED) 3.9%	POLY
Jun 10, 11:37	CMSIG20260610BD03	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Markets back US real GDP surging above 2% in Q2 202681% · Real GDP growth, annualized (FRED) 1.6%	KAL
Jun 10, 11:37	CMSIG20260610BD01	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Capital fully backs CPI above 4% for the May 2026 year99% · CPI inflation, year-over-year (FRED) 3.9%	KAL
Jun 10, 11:37	CMSIG20260610DV00	CROSS-VENUE	Grok 5 pre-July release splits sharply across venuesPolymarket 6% vs Kalshi 14%	POLY·KAL
Jun 10, 11:37	CMSIG20260610VS00	VOLUME-SPIKE	Traders write off a MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale by May 310% · $139M 24h	POLY

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the reference layer for prediction markets.

the intelligence layer.

the reference layer for
prediction markets.