Read by desks. Queried by agents.
Graded resolutions · Cross-venue linked · Catalysts tagged
Prediction markets turn live opinion into a price. CM Signal flags where those prices diverge: from each other, from benchmarks, from the news, or on unusual volume.
Published daily.
| Aug 02, 09:54 | CMSIG20260802DV03 | CROSS-VENUE | Ramp IPO before 2027 prices in long odds but diverges across venuesPolymarket 8% vs Kalshi 13% | POLY·KAL |
| Aug 02, 09:54 | CMSIG20260802DV01 | CROSS-VENUE | Discord IPO odds carry a modest premium on the smaller deskPolymarket 32% vs Kalshi 38% | POLY·KAL |
| Aug 02, 09:54 | CMSIG20260802DV02 | CROSS-VENUE | Recession call for end of 2026 trades far apart on the major desksPolymarket 6% vs Kalshi 12% | POLY·KAL |
| Aug 02, 09:53 | CMSIG20260802VS01 | VOLUME-SPIKE | Traders back Iran regime change odds out to September at 7%7% · $83K 24h | POLY |
| Aug 02, 09:53 | CMSIG20260802VS00 | VOLUME-SPIKE | Iran regime change by Aug 31 stays a long shot at 3%3% · $233K 24h | POLY |